Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Can Bernanke Learn from Japan and Greenspan?

On May 27, 2000, a Member of the Policy Board, Bank of Japan, Eiko Shinotsuka, spoke on the subject “Japan’s Economy and the Role of the Bank of Japan.”  His main focus was the lost decade of the 1990s.

In his view, two factors were critical: (1) the bursting of the land and stock market bubbles, and (2) a structural problem.

Euphoria and loss of self-control, coupled with the Bank of Japan providing easy money for a long time, resulted in unfounded bullish expectations.  Capital invested in assets at the peak was devalued when the bubble burst (luxury resort hotels on remote islands).  The resulting fall in asset prices impaired the asset quality of both borrowers and lenders.

The structural problem was a decline in the average productivity of capital.  Wage growth exceeded labor productivity growth during the bubble, squeezing profits.  The structural problem exacerbated the impact of the bursting of the bubble.

Going forward, his recommendation was that the Bank of Japan needs to pay attention to rising asset prices, to be prepared to conduct pre-emptive monetary policy to prevent another bubble, and increase its awareness of this risk scenario.  Easy money for too long is playing with fire.

Will Bernanke learn from Japan and Greenspan?

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I felt observed all the way to the only empty sit that wasn’t between two kids. I ended up in a corner next to a boy who had his head down. This felt safest to me. Especially after the comment the teacher made.

"Hey! Get to work Adri! I didn’t say you could sleep!" The teacher yelled throwing a marker eraser at the boy next to me. The eraser hit the boy and he just laid there, lifeless almost. Another eraser was flung through the air and I knew I wasn’t going to enjoy this class.

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It all began with the Malaysians and their inclination for these bulky-headed fish, known as Karoi or warships. The flowerhorn fish found a place in the hearts of the Taiwanese, who considered them harbingers of prosperity. Soon enough, a feng shui connect was established. The nuchal hump, or protruding forehead resembled the forehead of the Chinese God of longevity. Some of the fish's body parts matched other divine creatures, elevating its importance. The black markings on the sides sometimes look like Chinese alphabets. Its brightly colored appearance made it an attractive and coveted fish. Aggressive at first, these fish form a deep bond with their owners over a period as they get tamed, especially when the owners feed them with their hands. Its red eyes were known to cast the evil spirits away.

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Controversy cannot keep its hands off a fish that is termed "a hybrid of hybrids". Much noise has been made about how fish breeds have been modified to increase their attractiveness quotient. While the ecologists continued their protests, the breeding community made hay as the popularity of the flowerhorn fish soared. It was during this period that the breeders worked overtime to support the burgeoning demand, leading to a drop in the "quality". The so-called good-looking fish earned returns and the unattractive and disfigured ones were saddled with the store owners. Not knowing what to do with the leftovers, they were thoughtlessly dumped in the drains of Singapore and Malaysia. These little horrors ran riot with their unrestrained breeding and demolished the local flora and fauna. Many local aquatic species became extinct, with the flowerhorns eating or killing whatever came their way.
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For animals living in the wild, the meaning of life equals survival. This explains the presence of a keener sense of hearing and smell in these creatures, especially when compared to humans. They possess an advanced perceptive sense that aids their survival in the jungles. It makes them tune in to minute vibrations that are imperceptible to us, what with survival not topping our list of priorities.

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Seismologists in China and Japan (countries victim to some gruesome natural disasters), are putting in efforts to discover the reasoning behind uncommon animal behavior prior to earthquakes. They are hopeful of making an advancement in establishing this theory as animals are able to detect changes in the Earth's vibrations.
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Eight officials from the foundation will visit North Korea to deliver the aid on January 27, and two will stay until the following day to monitor the delivery of the food, according to the ministry.
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